In my view Alaska, Montana, South Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, and New Hampshire are the swing seats. The election might be over a year away, but we have to think about it now. We must figure out who is the best Republican to run in the Democratic controlled Senate seat elections. I am just going to pick a few Senate seats and give my prediction.
First I want to talk about Alaska. Joe Miller who ran for the Republican party in 2010 filed his paperwork to run for a second time in Alaska for Senate. I believe he will unseat incumbent Democrat Mark Begich. Montana, with Democratic Senator Maucus not running for reelection, I see it going into Republican hands. The only problem Republicans run into is if the former Democratic Governor of Montana Brian Schweitzer decides to run. I also predict South Dakota will be going into Republican hands. Democratic Senator Johnson is not running for reelection, and with no clear strong candidate from the democrats I don’t expect them to win that seat. This situation is also evident in Iowa. Democratic Senator Harkin is not running for reelection. It will be a bit of a challenge for Republicans to win, but I think they can do it, since the incumbent is not running for reelection. Finally I want to talk about New Hampshire. Republicans can win that state if former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown runs for that seat. If he does not I see little chance for Republicans to win there. Other states I see going into Republican hands would be Louisiana, Arkansas, West Virginia, and North Carolina. I predict 53 seats will be in the Republican control and 47 seats will be in Democrats control. Anything can happen in the next years and a half, but this is just my early prediction.