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2016 Presidential Election News

Governor Rick Snyder Delivers Republican Party Weekly Address on The Republican Pro-Job Agenda

3/30/2014

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Poll Briefing: March 29, 2014 WPA Opinion Research Election 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

3/29/2014

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WPA Opinion Research Election 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey: 

  • Rand Paul - 13%
  • Mike Huckabee - 13%
  • Jeb Bush - 11%
  • Chris Christie - 9%
  • Ted Cruz - 9%
  • Paul Ryan - 6%
  • Marco Rubio - 6%
  • Scott Walker - 5%
  • Bobby Jindal - 3%
  • Rick Santorum - 3%

Survey of 801 Republicans. The survey was conducted on March 18, 2014 - March 20, 2014.

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Poll Briefing: March 27, 2014 Quinnipiac Election 2016 Virginia Presidential Survey

3/27/2014

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Quinnipiac Election 2016 Virginia Presidential Survey: 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 45%
  • Chris Christie (R) - 41%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 48
  • Rand Paul (R) - 42%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) - 39%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 49%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) - 41%

Survey of 1,288 registered Virginia voters. The survey was conducted on March 19, 2014 - March 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7%.

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Poll Briefing: March 27, 2014 Rasmussen Election 2014 Iowa Senatorial Survey

3/27/2014

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Rasmussen Election 2014 Iowa Senatorial Survey: 

  • Bruce Braley (D) - 41%
  • Mark Jacobs (R) - 38%

  • Bruce Braley (D) - 40%
  • Joni Ernst (R) - 37%

  • Bruce Braley (D) - 40%
  • Matt Whitaker (R) - 36%

  • Bruce Braley (D) - 44%
  • Sam Clovis (R) - 31%

Survey of 750 likely Iowa voters. The survey was conducted on March 24, 2014 - March 25, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4%.

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Poll Briefing: March 27, 2014 PPP Election 2016 New Mexico Presidential Survey

3/27/2014

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PPP Election 2016 New Mexico Presidential Survey: 
Susana Martinez is the incumbent Governor.

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 53%
  • Susana Martinez (R) - 39%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) - 36%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 53%
  • Jeb Bush (R) - 37%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 54%
  • Ted Cruz (R) - 37%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) - 35%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) - 55%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) - 34%

Survey of 674 registered New Mexico voters. The survey was conducted on March 20, 2014 - March 23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8%.

Link
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Poll Briefing: March 24, 2014 Rasmussen Election 2014 Alaska Senatorial Survey

3/24/2014

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Rasmussen Election 2014 Alaska Senatorial Survey: Mark Begich is the incumbent Senator. 

  • Mead Treadwell (R) - 47%
  • Mark Begich (D) - 43%

  • Dan Sullivan (R) - 44%
  • Mark Begich (D) - 44%

  • Mark Begich (D) - 49%
  • Joe Miller (R) - 38%

Survey of 750 likely Alaska voters. The survey was conducted on March 19, 2014 - March 20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4%.

Link
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2016 Presidential Election Primary Candidate Predictor

3/23/2014

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On the 2016 Republican Presidential Primary page I list the candidates candidacy status on each of their profile pages. They can either be characterized as: Declined, Unlikely, Possibly, Likely, or Declared. Every month I take e very single possibly candidate that's name was floated in the media and I put it in a chart and list their candidacy status. This is for Republicans and Democrats. You can see the most updated chart on the 2016 GOP Primary page. 

Right now I want to break down the candidacy status's for all the main potential candidates and make a prediction on what will happen with their candidacy. 

Republicans

100% Running:

  • Chris Christie
  • Bobby Jindal
  • Rand Paul
  • Rick Santorum

Probably Will Run (80%-90%):

  • Peter King
  • Mike Huckabee 
  • Rick Perry
  • Marco Rubio 

Unlikely To Run (65%-80%): 

  • Jeb Bush
  • Ted Cruz
  • Paul Ryan
  • Scott Walker

Probably Wont Run (Below 65%):

  • Mary Fallin
  • Nikki Haley
  • John Kasich
  • Susana Martinez
  • Mike Pence
  • Rob Portman 
  • Condoleezza Rice
  • Brian Sandoval
  • Rick Snyder
  • John Thune

Not Going To Run:

  • Bob McDonnell 

Democrats

100% Running:

  • Hillary Clinton
  • Martin O'Malley
  • Brian Schweitzer

Probably Will Run (80%-90%):

  • Joe Biden

If Hillary Does Not Run (65%-80%):

  • Andrew Cuomo
  • Deval Patrick

If Hillary Does Not Run/Unlikely To Run (Below 65%): 

  • Evan Bayh
  • Kirsten Gillibrand
  • Christine Gregoire
  • John Hickenloope
  • Tim Kaine
  • John Kerry
  • Amy Klobuchar
  • Bernie Sanders
  • Mark Warner

Not Going To Run:

  • Cory Booker
  • Jerry Brown
  • Elizabeth Warren
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2016 Republican Presidential Nomination Average: March 23, 2014

3/23/2014

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RCP 2016 Republican Nomination Poll Average: 

  • Mike Huckabee - 13.7%
  • Rand Paul - 13.0%
  • Chris Christie - 11.7%
  • Jeb Bush - 10.7%
  • Paul Ryan - 9.7%
  • Ted Cruz - 8.0%
  • Marco Rubio- 7.7%
  • Rick Perry - 6.5%
  • Scott Walker - 6.0%

The poll average consisted of polls taken between February 4, 2014 - March 9, 2014.

Last Weeks Average
2016 Republican Primary Center
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"The Tonight Show" - Obama And Putin Phone Conversation

3/22/2014

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Poll Briefing: March 22, 2014 Gravis Marketing/Human Events Election 2014 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Survey

3/22/2014

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Gravis Marketing/Human Events Election 2014 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Survey: Scott Walker is the incumbent Governor. 

  • Scott Walker (R) - 49%
  • Mary Burke (D) - 44%
  • Unsure - 7% 

Survey of 988 registered Wisconsin voters. The survey was conducted on March 17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4%.

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